Tuesday, August 20, 2019

The End of the World as We Know It?

"It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine." - R.E.M. Michael Stipe sang those lyrics 31 years ago on...

Bonds Are Crumbling Before the Fed

Bonds are getting hammered with the Federal Reserve set to hike rates next week. The yield on 30-year Treasuries ($TYX.X) has risen about 19 basis...

Is the Fed Dovish, or Just Plain Chicken?

Is the Federal Reserve in the midst of its quickest pivot ever? It seems to be. Only two months ago, central bankers were united in their...

A Strange but Positive Jobs Report

"Non-farm payrolls miss estimates," the headlines say. But a deeper look at July's Employment Situation from the Labor Department reveals a more nuanced and...

Goldilocks Takes Over the Fed

So much for a hawkish Fed sinking the stock market. Jerome Powell veered away from aggressive interest-rate hikes on Wednesday, saying monetary policy is "just...

Junk Bonds Have Gotten Dumped

In another potentially bearish sign, junk bonds are getting dumped. The Barclays High Yield Bond Index ($JNK.IV) closed at its lowest price in 2-1/2 years...

Bears Embrace a Dovish Fed

Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve tried to deliver a dovish announcement. But the market viewed it as hawkish, or just plain bearish. At one...

How the Market May Be Pricing in Higher Rates

Suddenly the market seems to be taking higher interest rates seriously. Banks and financials, which stand to benefit from increased yields, are among the best...

Goldilocks Silences Jerome Powell

Fairy tales keep coming true in the U.S. economy. Most people know the classic story of Goldilocks describing the porridge of the Three Bears: Not...

Oil, Airlines and Housing: Charts to Watch

Stocks have bounced sharply this week, but oil continues to slide. Crude oil futures (@CL) closed at their lowest level in more than four months...
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